Phoenix to Bentonville Turbulence Forecast

PHX → XNA · 1,021 miles · ~2h 33m

What to Expect

The Phoenix to Bentonville route, eastward across 1021 miles, offers a diverse mix of flight conditions. Departing Phoenix, you'll first cross the Mojave and Sonoran Deserts, where thermal turbulence, caused by rising warm air, is common. As you move eastward, the flight path crosses the Southern Rockies, where mountain wave turbulence can occur as air flows over the peaks. Further along, over the Great Plains, expect potential clear-air turbulence (CAT), which is often unexpected but generally not severe. Depending on the time of year, you might encounter the edges of Tornado Alley, where severe convective turbulence from storm activity is possible. Finally, approaching Bentonville, the Ozark Plateau can generate convective turbulence. Remember, pilots are trained to anticipate and navigate these weather patterns, adjusting altitude or course as needed to ensure a safe and reasonably comfortable flight.

The Phoenix to Bentonville route passes over the Southern Rockies in New Mexico and southern Colorado. While somewhat lower than the peaks to the north, these mountains still produce notable mountain wave turbulence, particularly when strong southwesterly winds aloft align perpendicular to the ridgeline.

Turbulence Factors on This Route

• Thermal Turbulence: Extreme desert heating generates strong thermal updrafts that cause low-to-mid-level turbulence, especially in summer afternoons.
• Mountain Wave Turbulence: The Southern Rockies produce lee waves when southwesterly upper-level winds flow across the terrain.
• Clear-Air Turbulence (CAT): The jet stream frequently meanders over the Great Plains, producing wind shear and clear-air turbulence at cruising altitudes.
• Severe Convective Turbulence: Tornado Alley supercells produce some of the most intense convective turbulence in North American aviation.

When Is This Route Bumpiest?

The smoothest flights on this route are often found in the fall and winter months, when thermal activity over the deserts is reduced, and the risk of severe storms in Tornado Alley is minimal. Summer and late winter through early summer tend to be the bumpiest. Summer brings increased thermal turbulence over the deserts and convective turbulence over the Ozarks. Spring and late winter can see strong storm systems moving through Tornado Alley, potentially causing significant convective turbulence. The shoulder seasons of early spring and late fall may offer a decent balance of fewer storms and milder thermal activity.

Tips for This Flight

Consider booking a morning flight to minimize the chances of encountering afternoon convective turbulence, which is common during warmer months. Any turbulence you experience on this route will likely feel like driving on a bumpy, unpaved road for a few moments, not unlike the sensation of hitting potholes. For extra comfort, choose a seat over the wing, as this area tends to experience less motion during turbulence, and be sure to stay well-hydrated before and during the flight. Remember, the pilots are constantly monitoring conditions and will prioritize your safety above all else.

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Forecasts based on NOAA HRRR and GFS atmospheric model data.