Maui to Phoenix Turbulence Forecast

OGG → PHX · 2,841 miles · ~6h 11m

What to Expect

Your flight from Maui (OGG) to Phoenix (PHX) covers a good stretch of the Pacific and then the deserts of the American Southwest, so it's a route with a few different types of turbulence to be aware of. The first several hours will be over open ocean, where you might experience some clear-air turbulence; this is often invisible and hard to predict, but pilots are always monitoring conditions and using reports from other aircraft to navigate around it. You could also encounter oceanic convection, where warm air rises and creates bumps. As you approach Phoenix and fly over the Mojave and Sonoran Deserts, you might feel some thermal turbulence, which is caused by rising warm air during the day. Remember, pilots are highly trained to handle all kinds of turbulence, and they prioritize passenger safety above all else.

The Maui to Phoenix route traverses the Open Pacific, where oceanic clear-air turbulence and convective activity over warm tropical waters are the primary concerns. Transpacific jet stream crossings can be especially bumpy in winter, and isolated convective cells over open water may not appear on standard weather radar used by dispatchers.

Turbulence Factors on This Route

• Oceanic Clear-Air Turbulence: Transoceanic jet stream crossings produce extended stretches of clear-air turbulence over the open Pacific.
• Oceanic Convection: Isolated thunderstorms over warm Pacific waters can develop away from radar coverage, catching flights off guard.
• Thermal Turbulence: Extreme desert heating generates strong thermal updrafts that cause low-to-mid-level turbulence, especially in summer afternoons.

When Is This Route Bumpiest?

The smoothest rides on this route are typically in the spring and early summer, and then again in the fall and winter. The weather patterns are generally more stable during these periods. In contrast, the late summer and summer months can be a bit bumpier due to increased thermal activity over the deserts, leading to more noticeable thermal turbulence. Winter can also see increased turbulence as weather systems move across the Pacific.

Tips for This Flight

If you're concerned about turbulence, booking a morning flight often provides the smoothest experience, as the air tends to be calmer before the day heats up, especially over the deserts. Any turbulence you might encounter on this route is likely to feel like driving over a bumpy road or hitting small potholes. Choosing a seat over the wing can also minimize the sensation of movement. Remember to stay hydrated by drinking plenty of water before and during the flight, and focus on slow, deep breaths to help you relax. Your crew is there to help ensure your safety and comfort.

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Forecasts based on NOAA HRRR and GFS atmospheric model data.