Fort Myers to Phoenix Turbulence Forecast

RSW → PHX · 1,865 miles · ~4h 14m

What to Expect

Your flight from Fort Myers (RSW) to Phoenix (PHX) takes you across a variety of landscapes, each with its own potential for turbulence. Departing Florida, you might experience some bumps near the Gulf Coast, caused by convective turbulence from warm, humid air rising. Further west, as you approach the Southern Rockies, keep in mind that mountain wave turbulence is common as air flows over the peaks. Finally, as you descend into Phoenix, you'll be flying over the Mojave and Sonoran Deserts where thermal turbulence, caused by rising warm air, can also create some chop. Remember that pilots are very familiar with these weather patterns, and use sophisticated tools to navigate them every day, choosing the smoothest possible path.

The Fort Myers to Phoenix route passes over the Southern Rockies in New Mexico and southern Colorado. While somewhat lower than the peaks to the north, these mountains still produce notable mountain wave turbulence, particularly when strong southwesterly winds aloft align perpendicular to the ridgeline.

Turbulence Factors on This Route

• Convective Turbulence: Warm Gulf moisture drives rapid thunderstorm development along the coast, creating intense updrafts and downdrafts.
• Mountain Wave Turbulence: The Southern Rockies produce lee waves when southwesterly upper-level winds flow across the terrain.
• Thermal Turbulence: Extreme desert heating generates strong thermal updrafts that cause low-to-mid-level turbulence, especially in summer afternoons.

When Is This Route Bumpiest?

For the smoothest flight, aim to travel during the winter and early spring months. Late fall can be smooth too. During these times, the air tends to be more stable. Summer, late winter, and spring tend to be the bumpiest times on this route. Summer heat intensifies convective turbulence over the Gulf Coast and thermal turbulence over the deserts. Late winter and spring can bring stronger winds over the Rockies, potentially increasing mountain wave turbulence.

Tips for This Flight

If possible, book your flight for early morning, as the air tends to be calmer before the day heats up. Any turbulence you experience on this route is most likely to feel like driving on a road with small potholes, a series of brief, gentle bumps. Staying well hydrated can help you feel more comfortable. Consider selecting a seat over the wing, which tends to experience less motion, and remember that the flight crew is there to help, so don't hesitate to ask questions. Knowing what to expect can help you feel more prepared and in control.

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Forecasts based on NOAA HRRR and GFS atmospheric model data.