Wichita to New Orleans Turbulence Forecast

ICT → MSY · 670 miles · ~1h 50m

What to Expect

Your flight from Wichita to New Orleans crosses a variety of landscapes, each with its own potential for turbulence. Initially, you'll be flying over the Great Plains, where clear-air turbulence (CAT) can occur, often unexpectedly. Then, you'll enter Tornado Alley, which, especially in spring and early summer, can bring severe convective turbulence. As you continue southeast, you'll fly over the Ozark Plateau and then the Mississippi Valley, both prone to convective turbulence caused by rising warm air. Finally, near New Orleans, you’ll be over the Gulf Coast, where similar convective turbulence can develop, particularly during warmer months. Remember, pilots are trained to anticipate and navigate these conditions; they constantly monitor weather and adjust altitude to find the smoothest possible ride. This route is commonly flown, and these weather patterns are well understood.

Between Wichita and New Orleans, the route crosses the Great Plains, a vast, flat expanse where clear-air turbulence from jet stream undulations is the primary concern at cruise altitude. The lack of terrain features means mountain wave turbulence is absent, but the jet stream frequently meanders over this region, creating wind shear zones at flight levels.

Turbulence Factors on This Route

• Clear-Air Turbulence (CAT): The jet stream frequently meanders over the Great Plains, producing wind shear and clear-air turbulence at cruising altitudes.
• Severe Convective Turbulence: Tornado Alley supercells produce some of the most intense convective turbulence in North American aviation.

When Is This Route Bumpiest?

The summer and fall months generally offer the smoothest flights on this route. During this time, the atmospheric conditions over Tornado Alley stabilize, reducing the likelihood of severe convective turbulence. Winter, early spring, spring, and early summer tend to be bumpier. The combination of cold and warm air masses colliding over the Great Plains and the instability in Tornado Alley contribute to more frequent and intense turbulence during these periods. Convective turbulence over the Ozark Plateau, Mississippi Valley, and Gulf Coast is also more common in warmer months.

Tips for This Flight

Choosing an early morning flight is often your best bet for a smoother experience, as the atmosphere tends to be more stable before the day heats up. Any turbulence you experience on this route will likely feel like driving over a bumpy road or encountering strong wind gusts while sailing. To stay comfortable, consider selecting a seat over the wing, which tends to experience less motion. Staying well-hydrated and focusing on slow, deep breaths can also help you feel more relaxed. Remember that turbulence is a normal part of flying, and the crew is there to ensure your safety and comfort throughout the journey.

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Forecasts based on NOAA HRRR and GFS atmospheric model data.