Tulsa to Tucson Turbulence Forecast

TUL → TUS · 905 miles · ~2h 19m

What to Expect

The flight from Tulsa to Tucson, heading west, is just over 900 miles, and it's known for crossing a variety of interesting weather patterns that can lead to turbulence. Right after takeoff, you'll be over Tornado Alley, which can bring what's called Severe Convective Turbulence, especially in unstable weather. As you continue west, crossing the Great Plains, you might encounter Clear-Air Turbulence, or CAT, which can happen even on a clear day. Further along, as you approach the Southern Rockies, Mountain Wave Turbulence can occur as the wind interacts with the mountains. Finally, approaching Tucson, over the Mojave and Sonoran Deserts, expect the possibility of Thermal Turbulence, caused by rising warm air. Pilots are very familiar with these types of turbulence and actively monitor conditions and adjust flight paths to ensure a safe and comfortable flight.

The Tulsa to Tucson route passes over the Southern Rockies in New Mexico and southern Colorado. While somewhat lower than the peaks to the north, these mountains still produce notable mountain wave turbulence, particularly when strong southwesterly winds aloft align perpendicular to the ridgeline.

Turbulence Factors on This Route

• Severe Convective Turbulence: Tornado Alley supercells produce some of the most intense convective turbulence in North American aviation.
• Clear-Air Turbulence (CAT): The jet stream frequently meanders over the Great Plains, producing wind shear and clear-air turbulence at cruising altitudes.
• Mountain Wave Turbulence: The Southern Rockies produce lee waves when southwesterly upper-level winds flow across the terrain.
• Thermal Turbulence: Extreme desert heating generates strong thermal updrafts that cause low-to-mid-level turbulence, especially in summer afternoons.

When Is This Route Bumpiest?

Fall is usually the smoothest time to fly this route. Winter and summer tend to be less bumpy as well. However, spring and early summer can be more turbulent due to storm systems churning through Tornado Alley. Late winter and early spring can bring extra Mountain Wave Turbulence as weather patterns shift around the Rockies. Be aware, summer can be bumpy due to intense heating over the deserts causing thermal updrafts.

Tips for This Flight

If possible, booking a morning flight often means a smoother ride, since many weather patterns build up during the day. Any turbulence you encounter will likely feel like driving over a bumpy road or a sudden dip similar to going over a speed bump. Choosing a seat over the wing provides a bit more stability. Remember to stay hydrated and focus on slow, deep breaths to help stay relaxed. Keep in mind, the flight crew is well-trained to handle any situation, and your comfort is their priority.

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Forecasts based on NOAA HRRR and GFS atmospheric model data.