Maui to Burbank Turbulence Forecast

OGG → BUR · 2,489 miles · ~5h 29m

What to Expect

That Maui to Burbank flight, heading northeast for almost 2500 miles, has some unique turbulence characteristics. The first chunk of the flight is over the open Pacific Ocean. You might experience what's called Oceanic Clear-Air Turbulence, which can happen seemingly out of nowhere high above the water, or some Oceanic Convection, which is caused by rising warm air creating bumps. Later, as you approach the California coast, you might encounter Clear-Air Turbulence, often referred to as CAT, which is common when you're nearing mountains and land. These aren't unusual conditions, and your pilots are trained to monitor and navigate them safely. They're constantly getting updates and know how to find the smoothest path possible.

The Maui to Burbank route traverses the Open Pacific, where oceanic clear-air turbulence and convective activity over warm tropical waters are the primary concerns. Transpacific jet stream crossings can be especially bumpy in winter, and isolated convective cells over open water may not appear on standard weather radar used by dispatchers.

Turbulence Factors on This Route

• Oceanic Clear-Air Turbulence: Transoceanic jet stream crossings produce extended stretches of clear-air turbulence over the open Pacific.
• Oceanic Convection: Isolated thunderstorms over warm Pacific waters can develop away from radar coverage, catching flights off guard.

When Is This Route Bumpiest?

For the calmest flight, aim for spring, early summer, summer, or early fall. The atmosphere tends to be more stable then. Winter, late summer, and early spring can be a bit bumpier. This is because the temperature differences between air masses are often greater during these times, leading to more instability over the ocean and near the coast. These seasonal shifts can make Oceanic Convection, Clear-Air Turbulence, and Oceanic Clear-Air Turbulence more common.

Tips for This Flight

If you can, booking a morning flight often leads to a smoother experience. Any turbulence you might encounter on this route will likely feel like driving over a few potholes in the road, nothing too dramatic. To stay comfortable, choose a seat over the wing, where the ride is typically a little more stable, and remember to stay hydrated. Staying hydrated can help you feel relaxed and more in control, even if there are a few bumps along the way.

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Forecasts based on NOAA HRRR and GFS atmospheric model data.