Los Angeles to Memphis Turbulence Forecast

LAX → MEM · 1,615 miles · ~3h 44m

What to Expect

The Los Angeles to Memphis flight is a journey east across varied terrain, which means it encounters several common turbulence patterns. Initially, the plane crosses the Mojave and Sonoran Deserts, where thermal turbulence, caused by rising warm air, can create some light chop. Next, as you fly over the Southern Rockies, expect the possibility of mountain wave turbulence, where air flowing over the mountains creates bumpy waves. Over the Great Plains, clear-air turbulence (CAT) might be encountered, often unexpectedly, but it's usually brief. As you approach Memphis, the flight path crosses Tornado Alley, where severe convective turbulence from thunderstorms is possible, especially during storm season. Finally, the Ozark Plateau and Mississippi Valley, along with the Southeast Interior, can experience convective turbulence, due to unstable air masses. These are all normal weather phenomena pilots are trained to handle.

The Los Angeles to Memphis route passes over the Southern Rockies in New Mexico and southern Colorado. While somewhat lower than the peaks to the north, these mountains still produce notable mountain wave turbulence, particularly when strong southwesterly winds aloft align perpendicular to the ridgeline.

Turbulence Factors on This Route

• Thermal Turbulence: Extreme desert heating generates strong thermal updrafts that cause low-to-mid-level turbulence, especially in summer afternoons.
• Mountain Wave Turbulence: The Southern Rockies produce lee waves when southwesterly upper-level winds flow across the terrain.
• Clear-Air Turbulence (CAT): The jet stream frequently meanders over the Great Plains, producing wind shear and clear-air turbulence at cruising altitudes.
• Severe Convective Turbulence: Tornado Alley supercells produce some of the most intense convective turbulence in North American aviation.

When Is This Route Bumpiest?

For the smoothest flight, aim to travel this route in the late fall or winter. Cooler air is more stable, reducing thermal and convective turbulence. Summer tends to be the bumpiest time due to increased thermal activity over the deserts and frequent thunderstorms in Tornado Alley and the Mississippi Valley. Late winter, spring, early spring, and early summer can also be rougher, because these seasons bring unstable air masses that lead to convective turbulence, especially as the plane crosses the Ozark Plateau and Southeast Interior.

Tips for This Flight

Booking your flight for a morning departure often provides a smoother experience, as the atmosphere is generally more stable earlier in the day. Any turbulence you might encounter on this route will likely feel like driving over a road with potholes; it's noticeable, but manageable. For extra comfort, choose a seat over the wing, as it's generally the most stable part of the aircraft. Remember to stay hydrated, take slow, deep breaths, and know that the flight crew is always there to ensure your safety and comfort.

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Forecasts based on NOAA HRRR and GFS atmospheric model data.