Burbank to Tampa Turbulence Forecast

BUR → TPA · 2,152 miles · ~4h 48m

What to Expect

BUR to TPA is a mostly east-bound flight that crosses a variety of geographic features known for turbulence, so it tends to be a bit bumpy. Almost immediately after takeoff, you'll be over the Mojave and Sonoran Deserts, where thermal turbulence, caused by rising warm air, can create some chop. Later, as you cross the Southern Rockies, you might experience mountain wave turbulence as air flows over the mountains. As you get closer to Tampa, your flight path crosses Tornado Alley, where severe convective turbulence from strong storms can sometimes impact flights. Convective turbulence can also occur over the Gulf Coast, the Mississippi Valley, and the Southeast Interior. These are all common weather patterns, and pilots are trained to navigate them safely, often adjusting altitude or course to find smoother air.

The Burbank to Tampa route passes over the Southern Rockies in New Mexico and southern Colorado. While somewhat lower than the peaks to the north, these mountains still produce notable mountain wave turbulence, particularly when strong southwesterly winds aloft align perpendicular to the ridgeline.

Turbulence Factors on This Route

• Thermal Turbulence: Extreme desert heating generates strong thermal updrafts that cause low-to-mid-level turbulence, especially in summer afternoons.
• Mountain Wave Turbulence: The Southern Rockies produce lee waves when southwesterly upper-level winds flow across the terrain.
• Severe Convective Turbulence: Tornado Alley supercells produce some of the most intense convective turbulence in North American aviation.

When Is This Route Bumpiest?

The smoothest rides on this route are typically in winter and fall. Summer tends to be the bumpiest time to fly BUR to TPA, as heat generates thermal turbulence over the deserts and increases the chances of convective turbulence from thunderstorms in Tornado Alley and the Southeast. Late winter, spring, and early summer also experience more bumps due to increased convective activity. Early spring and late fall have reduced thunderstorm activity, leading to fewer encounters with convective turbulence.

Tips for This Flight

If possible, try to book an early morning flight; the air is often calmer before the day heats up. Any turbulence you experience on this route will likely feel like driving on a road with potholes, or perhaps a mild rollercoaster. For comfort, consider choosing a seat over the wing, as it's the most stable part of the plane. Taking slow, deep breaths can help you stay calm; remember, turbulence is a normal part of flying, and the pilots are well-equipped to handle it.

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Forecasts based on NOAA HRRR and GFS atmospheric model data.