Burbank to Norfolk Turbulence Forecast

BUR → ORF · 2,358 miles · ~5h 13m

What to Expect

Flying from Burbank, California, to Norfolk, Virginia, means crossing a good chunk of the United States, and that comes with a variety of weather patterns that can cause turbulence. You'll start over the Mojave and Sonoran Deserts, where thermal turbulence from rising hot air can be common. As you continue east, you'll cross the Southern Rockies, where mountain wave turbulence can occur as wind flows over the peaks. Further along, over the Great Plains, you might encounter clear-air turbulence, or CAT, which can be a bit unexpected since it's not associated with visible clouds. Depending on the time of year, you could also pass through Tornado Alley and the Ozark Plateau, where severe convective turbulence and more standard convective turbulence can form. The final leg takes you over the Mississippi and Ohio Valleys, and the Southern Appalachians, each of which contribute to turbulence through frontal and mechanical activity. Pilots are very familiar with all of these possibilities and monitor conditions closely to navigate the safest path possible.

The Burbank to Norfolk route passes over the Southern Rockies in New Mexico and southern Colorado. While somewhat lower than the peaks to the north, these mountains still produce notable mountain wave turbulence, particularly when strong southwesterly winds aloft align perpendicular to the ridgeline.

Turbulence Factors on This Route

• Thermal Turbulence: Extreme desert heating generates strong thermal updrafts that cause low-to-mid-level turbulence, especially in summer afternoons.
• Mountain Wave Turbulence: The Southern Rockies produce lee waves when southwesterly upper-level winds flow across the terrain.
• Clear-Air Turbulence (CAT): The jet stream frequently meanders over the Great Plains, producing wind shear and clear-air turbulence at cruising altitudes.
• Severe Convective Turbulence: Tornado Alley supercells produce some of the most intense convective turbulence in North American aviation.

When Is This Route Bumpiest?

The winter months, particularly early winter and fall, usually offer the smoothest flights on this route. The air tends to be more stable, reducing thermal and convective turbulence. Summer, late winter, spring, early spring, and early summer can be bumpier, especially when passing over Tornado Alley, where strong thunderstorms frequently develop. The Rockies are subject to mountain wave turbulence in any season. Keep in mind that weather patterns are always subject to change, so turbulence is never a guarantee, but these are the general seasonal trends to be aware of.

Tips for This Flight

If possible, booking a morning flight can sometimes mean a slightly smoother ride, as the air tends to be calmer before the day heats up. The turbulence you might experience on this route can range from light chop, like driving on a slightly bumpy road, to moderate bumps, similar to hitting a pothole. Choosing a seat over the wing can minimize the sensation of movement. Stay hydrated, and practice deep, slow breathing; inhaling for a count of four and exhaling for a count of six. Remember, the pilots are highly trained to handle these conditions and are constantly monitoring the weather to ensure a safe and comfortable flight.

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Forecasts based on NOAA HRRR and GFS atmospheric model data.