Burbank to Lexington Turbulence Forecast

BUR → LEX · 1,892 miles · ~4h 17m

What to Expect

The Burbank to Lexington route, heading east over 1892 miles, offers a diverse mix of potential turbulence. Your journey starts over the Mojave and Sonoran Deserts, where thermal turbulence, caused by rising warm air, is common. As you continue, you'll encounter the Southern Rockies, known for mountain wave turbulence, where air flowing over the mountains creates waves. Further east, over the Great Plains, clear-air turbulence, or CAT, can occur unexpectedly. You'll then pass through Tornado Alley, potentially experiencing severe convective turbulence, especially during storm season. The Ozark Plateau and Mississippi Valley can present convective turbulence linked to afternoon thunderstorms, and the Ohio Valley may see frontal turbulence as you approach the Appalachian Mountains, where mechanical turbulence is possible. Pilots are well-versed in managing these conditions, using weather data and radar to navigate the safest path.

The Burbank to Lexington route passes over the Southern Rockies in New Mexico and southern Colorado. While somewhat lower than the peaks to the north, these mountains still produce notable mountain wave turbulence, particularly when strong southwesterly winds aloft align perpendicular to the ridgeline.

Turbulence Factors on This Route

• Thermal Turbulence: Extreme desert heating generates strong thermal updrafts that cause low-to-mid-level turbulence, especially in summer afternoons.
• Mountain Wave Turbulence: The Southern Rockies produce lee waves when southwesterly upper-level winds flow across the terrain.
• Clear-Air Turbulence (CAT): The jet stream frequently meanders over the Great Plains, producing wind shear and clear-air turbulence at cruising altitudes.
• Severe Convective Turbulence: Tornado Alley supercells produce some of the most intense convective turbulence in North American aviation.

When Is This Route Bumpiest?

The smoothest flights on this route are most often in the fall, particularly early fall, when the atmosphere is generally more stable. Winter can also offer some calm flights. Summer tends to be bumpier, especially crossing the deserts and Tornado Alley, where heat and storm activity increase turbulence. Late winter, spring, early spring, and early summer can also be more turbulent due to increased storminess and temperature contrasts across the plains and valleys. The change in seasons brings rapidly shifting weather patterns which increases the potential for turbulence.

Tips for This Flight

To minimize any anxiety, consider booking your flight for the early morning, as the atmosphere tends to be calmer before daytime heating kicks in. The turbulence on this route, when encountered, often feels like driving over a bumpy road or hitting a few potholes. Staying well-hydrated can help you feel more comfortable; drink plenty of water before and during the flight and try focusing on slow, deep breaths to stay relaxed. Remember, the pilots are highly skilled at managing these conditions, and your safety is their top priority.

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Forecasts based on NOAA HRRR and GFS atmospheric model data.